Could sustainable finance be key to unlocking world reserve currency status for the euro?

Authored by Montana Craven, ESG Intern Introduction The euro is yet to convince the world that it could be a viable alternative to the US dollar as a reserve currency, falling over the hurdles of fiscal unity, growth outperformance and political stability. However, sustainable finance currently offers an alternative avenue for the fission of euro-denominated …read more

Emerging Markets FX: The Framework of Opportunity

  By Torrie Callander, CFA & Canberk Yalcin   Emerging Market (EM) currencies have already regained much of the ground lost in H1 2020. We therefore expect a more heterogeneous set of factors to drive opportunity in 2021, as opposed to any homogenous, broad-based EM recovery. Traditional factors such as carry, value and growth should …read more

We’ll have a (not so) Blue Christmas without you, Trump

Summary In the quiet after the storm, this blog post hopes to take stock of what happened in the US election, why markets were surprised, what the results means for US policy (fiscal, monetary, foreign, climate) going forward, and the implications of this for US and global growth, equities and FX markets. What happened? The …read more

FX as a source of return: Is now the time to look again?

  The global trend towards lower interest rates, exacerbated by the COVID-19 crisis, has led to an environment of suppressed yields and asymmetric risk such that traditional investments no longer offer the most efficient avenue to express macro views. Currency markets can act as the last great equilibrator when it comes to levelling-up asset valuations, …read more